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China · Super League

15 May 2026 12:00 UTC

BEIJING GUOAN vs QINGDAO HAINIU

Final 4:2

Beijing Guoan won Last goal: Qingdao Hainiu

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zhang Yuning — Beijing Guoan
  2. ⚽ Tze-Nam Yue — Beijing Guoan
  3. ⚽ Zhang Xizhe (penalty) — Beijing Guoan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cao Yongjing — Beijing Guoan
  2. ⚽ Song Wenjie — Qingdao Hainiu
  3. ⚽ Cheuk-Pan Ngan — Qingdao Hainiu

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Beijing Guoan
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 232 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 195 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
54 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
119 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
136 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
165 predictions

Match overview