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China · Super League

15 May 2026 11:35 UTC

HENAN FC vs SHENZHEN PENG CITY

Final 1:0

Henan FC won Last goal: Henan FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bruno Nazário — Henan FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Henan FC
90-minute result: Henan FC
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 232 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 195 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
141 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
119 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
59 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
165 predictions

Match overview