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China · Super League

16 May 2026 11:35 UTC

SHANDONG TAISHAN vs CHONGQING TONGLIANG LONG

Final 3:1

Shandong Taishan won Last goal: Shandong Taishan

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Guilherme Madruga — Shandong Taishan
  2. ⚽ Guilherme Madruga — Shandong Taishan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Landry Dimata — Chongqing Tongliang Long
  2. ⚽ Xie Wenneng — Shandong Taishan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Shandong Taishan
90-minute result: Shandong Taishan
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 73 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 237 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 195 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
141 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 1.5 12% (Weak)
26 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
136 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
165 predictions

Match overview