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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Promotion Group

15 May 2026 13:00 UTC

HAPOEL KFAR SABA vs MACCABI PETACH TIKVA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Maccabi Petach Tikva

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Roy Buganim — Hapoel Kfar Saba
  2. ⚽ Mohammed Hindi (penalty) — Maccabi Petach Tikva

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Getachew Yabelo — Hapoel Kfar Saba
  2. ⚽ Idan Aharon Dahan — Maccabi Petach Tikva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 11% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
176 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
225 predictions

Match overview