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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Relegation Group

11 May 2026 16:20 UTC

SC KAFR QASIM vs HAPOEL NOF HAGALIL

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: SC Kafr Qasim

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Or Dasa — Hapoel Nof HaGalil

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Basem Zaarura (straight red) — Hapoel Nof HaGalil
  2. ⚽ Sameh Marab (penalty) — SC Kafr Qasim

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
SC Kafr Qasim
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 264 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
173 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
220 predictions

Match overview