← Back to matches

Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Relegation Group

15 May 2026 13:00 UTC

HAPOEL AFULA vs HAPOEL NOF HAGALIL

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Hapoel Afula won Last goal: Hapoel Afula

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Roei Rabinovich — Hapoel Afula

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Hamidou Diallo (straight red) — Hapoel Nof HaGalil
  2. ⚽ Pedro Sass Petrazzi — Hapoel Nof HaGalil
  3. ⚽ Maor Bitton — Hapoel Afula

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Hapoel Afula
90-minute result: Hapoel Afula
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
176 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
159 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
225 predictions

Match overview