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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Relegation Group

14 May 2026 16:00 UTC

HAPOEL HADERA vs HAPOEL RAANANA

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Hapoel Hadera

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Basil Khoury — Hapoel Hadera
  2. ⚽ Itamar Guetta — Hapoel Raanana

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Omer Dahan — Hapoel Raanana
  2. ⚽ Basil Khoury — Hapoel Hadera
  3. ⚽ Dan Lee-Yam — Hapoel Raanana
  4. ⚽ Muhammad Badarna — Hapoel Hadera
  5. 🟥 — (straight red) — Hapoel Raanana

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Hapoel Hadera
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 267 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 252 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
174 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
205 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
185 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
223 predictions

Match overview