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Turkey · Cup · Cup Final Stage

13 May 2026 17:30 UTC

GENCLERBIRLIGI vs TRABZONSPOR

Final 1:2 Almanac Moment

Trabzonspor won Last goal: Trabzonspor

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Erk Aslan — Genclerbirligi
  2. ⚽ Arda Çelik (own goal) — Trabzonspor
  3. ⚽ Ernest Muçi — Trabzonspor

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Trabzonspor
90-minute result: Trabzonspor
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
45%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 15% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 100 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 95 completed matches.

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 12 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 17% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 17% (Weak)
Total 4.5 42% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
82 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
51 predictions
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
80 predictions

Match overview