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Turkey · Cup · Cup Final Stage

23 Apr 2026 17:45 UTC

BESIKTAS vs ALANYASPOR

Final 3:0

Besiktas won Last goal: Besiktas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. El Bilal Touré — Besiktas

2nd half

  1. Hyun-Gyu Oh — Besiktas
  2. Orkun Kökçü — Besiktas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
35%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 97 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 92 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 20% (Weak)
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
68 predictions
Both teams to score 30% (Weak)
27 predictions
Total 1.5 18% (Weak)
11 predictions
Total 2.5 31% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
77 predictions

Match overview