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Turkey · Cup · Cup Final Stage

21 Apr 2026 17:30 UTC

KONYASPOR vs FENERBAHCE

Final 1:0

Konyaspor advanced Last goal: Konyaspor

Match timeline

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Marko Jevtovic (penalty) — Konyaspor

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Fenerbahce
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Konyaspor
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 95 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 90 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 20% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
66 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
79 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
48 predictions
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
32 predictions
Total 4.5 38% (Weak)
13 predictions

Match overview