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Turkey · Cup · Cup Final Stage

22 Apr 2026 17:30 UTC

GALATASARAY vs GENCLERBIRLIGI

Final 0:2

Genclerbirligi won Last goal: Genclerbirligi

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Firatcan Üzüm — Genclerbirligi
  2. ⚽ Adama Traoré — Genclerbirligi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
51%
1X2
Genclerbirligi
90-minute result: Genclerbirligi
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 15% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 96 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 91 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 9 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 11% (Weak)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
67 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
80 predictions
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
49 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
33 predictions
Total 4.5 36% (Weak)
14 predictions

Match overview