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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

12 May 2026 17:00 UTC

HAPOEL TEL AVIV vs HAPOEL PETAH TIKVA

Final 1:0

Hapoel Tel Aviv won Last goal: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mor Buskila — Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Hapoel Petah Tikva
90-minute result: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 211 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 206 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
161 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
117 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
163 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
113 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
154 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
179 predictions

Match overview