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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

13 May 2026 10:30 UTC

ULSAN HD FC vs JEJU SK

Final 2:1

Ulsan HD FC won Last goal: Jeju SK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dong-Gyeong Lee — Ulsan HD FC
  2. ⚽ Milosz Trojak — Ulsan HD FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Negueba — Jeju SK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Jeju SK
90-minute result: Ulsan HD FC
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 212 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 180 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
130 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
68 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
141 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
157 predictions

Match overview