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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

12 May 2026 10:30 UTC

GWANGJU FC vs FC SEOUL

Final 0:1

FC Seoul won Last goal: FC Seoul

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Leonardo Ruiz — FC Seoul

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
FC Seoul
90-minute result: FC Seoul
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
2:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 209 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 180 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
130 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
141 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
23 predictions

Match overview