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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

16 May 2026 07:30 UTC

DAEJEON HANA CITIZEN vs FC SEOUL

Final 1:2

FC Seoul won Last goal: FC Seoul

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Anderson Oliveira — FC Seoul

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jae-Hee Jeong — Daejeon Hana Citizen
  2. ⚽ Seung-Mo Lee — FC Seoul

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Daejeon Hana Citizen
90-minute result: FC Seoul
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
4:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
135 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 4.5 16% (Weak)
25 predictions

Match overview