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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

16 May 2026 10:00 UTC

INCHEON UNITED vs GWANGJU FC

Final 4:0

Incheon United won Last goal: Incheon United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Ibiza — Incheon United
  2. ⚽ Morgan Ferrier — Incheon United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gerso — Incheon United
  2. ⚽ Lee Chung-Yong (penalty) — Incheon United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Incheon United
90-minute result: Incheon United
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
5:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
135 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 4.5 16% (Weak)
25 predictions

Match overview