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Ukraine · Premier League

13 May 2026 15:45 UTC

SHAKHTAR DONETSK vs OBOLON KYIV

Final 3:1

Shakhtar Donetsk won Last goal: Shakhtar Donetsk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luca Meirelles — Shakhtar Donetsk
  2. ⚽ Alaa Ghram — Shakhtar Donetsk
  3. ⚽ Maksym Chekh — Obolon Kyiv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marian Shved — Shakhtar Donetsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Shakhtar Donetsk
90-minute result: Shakhtar Donetsk
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 217 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
164 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
119 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
101 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
171 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
194 predictions

Match overview