← Back to matches

Ukraine · Premier League

12 May 2026 10:00 UTC

FC OLEKSANDRIYA vs ZORYA

Final 1:2

Zorya won Last goal: FC Oleksandriya

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Pylyp Budkivskyi (penalty) — Zorya
  2. ⚽ Petar Micin — Zorya
  3. ⚽ Tedi Cara — FC Oleksandriya
  4. 🟥 Danylo Skorko (2nd yellow) — FC Oleksandriya
  5. 🟥 Miguel (2nd yellow) — FC Oleksandriya

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
Zorya
90-minute result: Zorya
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 217 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 213 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
160 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 39% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
113 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
191 predictions

Match overview