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Ukraine · Premier League

13 May 2026 12:30 UTC

LNZ CHERKASY vs SC POLTAVA

Final 2:0

LNZ Cherkasy won Last goal: LNZ Cherkasy

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yehor Tverdokhlib — LNZ Cherkasy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Denys Kuzyk — LNZ Cherkasy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
SC Poltava
90-minute result: LNZ Cherkasy
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 217 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
164 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
171 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
194 predictions

Match overview