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Ukraine · Premier League

16 May 2026 10:00 UTC

SC POLTAVA vs DYNAMO KYIV

Final 0:2 Almanac Moment

Dynamo Kyiv won Last goal: Dynamo Kyiv

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andrii Yarmolenko (penalty) — Dynamo Kyiv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Eduardo Guerrero — Dynamo Kyiv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Dynamo Kyiv
90-minute result: Dynamo Kyiv
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 225 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 221 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
167 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
198 predictions

Match overview