← Back to matches

Switzerland · Super League · Super League Relegation Group

12 May 2026 18:30 UTC

GRASSHOPPER CLUB vs FC WINTERTHUR

Final 3:2

Grasshopper Club won Last goal: Grasshopper Club

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pajtim Kasami — FC Winterthur
  2. ⚽ Pajtim Kasami — FC Winterthur

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dirk Abels (penalty) — Grasshopper Club
  2. ⚽ Young-Jun Lee — Grasshopper Club
  3. ⚽ Dirk Abels — Grasshopper Club

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Grasshopper Club
90-minute result: Grasshopper Club
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 213 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 213 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
154 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
65 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
84 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
143 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
181 predictions

Match overview