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Ukraine · Premier League

10 May 2026 12:30 UTC

SC POLTAVA vs SHAKHTAR DONETSK

Final 0:4

Shakhtar Donetsk won Last goal: Shakhtar Donetsk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dmytro Kryskiv — Shakhtar Donetsk

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Isaque — Shakhtar Donetsk
  2. ⚽ Isaque — Shakhtar Donetsk
  3. ⚽ Lassina Traore — Shakhtar Donetsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Shakhtar Donetsk
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 212 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
52 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
161 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview