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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Relegation Group

08 May 2026 13:00 UTC

IRONI MODIIN vs MACCABI KABILIO JAFFA

Final 4:1

Ironi Modiin won Last goal: Ironi Modiin

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gil Itzhak — Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
  2. ⚽ Sagi Genis — Ironi Modiin
  3. ⚽ Sagi Israeli — Ironi Modiin

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sagi Israeli — Ironi Modiin
  2. ⚽ Guy Amsalem — Ironi Modiin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
90-minute result: Ironi Modiin
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 259 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 244 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
169 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
154 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
120 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
178 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
216 predictions

Match overview