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Israel · Liga Leumit · Leumit League Promotion Group

11 May 2026 16:00 UTC

MACCABI PETACH TIKVA vs HAPOEL RISHON LEZION

Final 2:0

Maccabi Petach Tikva won Last goal: Maccabi Petach Tikva

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Muhammad Handy (penalty) — Maccabi Petach Tikva

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Muhammad Handy (penalty) — Maccabi Petach Tikva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Maccabi Petach Tikva
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 93 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 264 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
76 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
182 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
220 predictions

Match overview