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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Relegation Group

10 May 2026 17:00 UTC

IRONI TIBERIAS vs MACCABI NETANYA

Final 4:3

Ironi Tiberias won Last goal: Ironi Tiberias

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Itay Ben Shabat (own goal) — Ironi Tiberias
  2. ⚽ Basam Zaarura — Maccabi Netanya

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Maor Levi — Maccabi Netanya
  2. ⚽ Matheus Davó — Maccabi Netanya
  3. ⚽ Guy Hadida — Ironi Tiberias
  4. ⚽ Guy Hadida — Ironi Tiberias
  5. 🟥 Bakary Konaté (straight red) — Maccabi Netanya

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Ironi Tiberias
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 208 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 203 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
158 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
86 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
162 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
176 predictions

Match overview