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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

09 May 2026 17:30 UTC

HAPOEL TEL AVIV vs MACCABI TEL AVIV

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dor Peretz — Maccabi Tel Aviv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Roy Korine — Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 204 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 199 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
44 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
115 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
111 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
51 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
172 predictions

Match overview