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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

09 May 2026 17:30 UTC

HAPOEL PETAH TIKVA vs HAPOEL BEER SHEVA

Final 2:4

Hapoel Beer Sheva won Last goal: Hapoel Beer Sheva

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Roy Levi — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  2. ⚽ Javon East — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  3. ⚽ Roy Levi — Hapoel Beer Sheva

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yonatan Cohen (penalty) — Hapoel Petah Tikva
  2. ⚽ Shavit Mazal — Hapoel Petah Tikva
  3. ⚽ Javon East — Hapoel Beer Sheva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
90-minute result: Hapoel Beer Sheva
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 204 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 199 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
155 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 28% (Weak)
40 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
148 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
172 predictions

Match overview