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Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

09 May 2026 19:30 UTC

SAN MARTIN SAN JUAN vs PATRONATO DE PARANA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: San Martin San Juan

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Brandon Cortés — Patronato de Parana
  2. ⚽ Víctor Aguilera — San Martin San Juan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 236 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 521 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 435 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
131 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
287 predictions
Total 1.5 42% (Weak)
193 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
314 predictions
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
385 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
419 predictions

Match overview