← Back to matches

Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

10 May 2026 18:30 UTC

ACASSUSO vs ALMIRANTE BROWN

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
40%
1X2
Almirante Brown
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 527 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 441 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
307 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
291 predictions
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
244 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
320 predictions
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
391 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
425 predictions

Match overview