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Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

09 May 2026 18:30 UTC

CA SAN MIGUEL vs CLUB ATLETICO ESTUDIANTES

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Club Atletico Estudiantes

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bruno Nasta (penalty) — CA San Miguel
  2. ⚽ Tobias Salas — Club Atletico Estudiantes

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
CA San Miguel
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 188 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 521 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 435 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
304 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
287 predictions
Total 1.5 42% (Weak)
193 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
314 predictions
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
385 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
419 predictions

Match overview