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Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

09 May 2026 18:00 UTC

TRISTAN SUAREZ vs CA FERROCARRIL MIDLAND

Final 1:3

CA Ferrocarril Midland won Last goal: CA Ferrocarril Midland

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Maximiliano Alvarez — Tristan Suarez
  2. ⚽ Jesus Camano — CA Ferrocarril Midland

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Maximiliano Rogoski — CA Ferrocarril Midland
  2. ⚽ Marcos Roseti — CA Ferrocarril Midland

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: CA Ferrocarril Midland
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 236 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 521 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 435 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 36 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 28% (Weak)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
131 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
148 predictions
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
242 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
314 predictions
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
385 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
419 predictions

Match overview