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Scotland · Premiership · Premiership Relegation Group

09 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ST. MIRREN vs KILMARNOCK

Final 0:3

Top match Kilmarnock won Last goal: Kilmarnock

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Miguel Freckleton (own goal) — Kilmarnock

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Findlay Curtis — Kilmarnock
  2. ⚽ Findlay Curtis — Kilmarnock

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Kilmarnock
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 201 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 205 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
51 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
184 predictions

Match overview