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Scotland · Premiership · Premiership Championship Group

09 May 2026 14:00 UTC

FALKIRK vs HIBERNIAN

Final 1:3

Top match Hibernian won Last goal: Falkirk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Josh Campbell — Hibernian
  2. ⚽ Josh Campbell — Hibernian
  3. ⚽ Jordan Obita — Hibernian

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ben Broggio — Falkirk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
Hibernian
90-minute result: Hibernian
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 201 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 205 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
154 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
88 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
37 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
184 predictions

Match overview