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Scotland · Premiership · Premiership Relegation Group

12 May 2026 18:45 UTC

ABERDEEN vs ST. MIRREN

Final 0:2

Top match St. Mirren won Last goal: St. Mirren

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Richard King — St. Mirren

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Killian Phillips — St. Mirren

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
St. Mirren
90-minute result: St. Mirren
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 207 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 211 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
159 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
121 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
173 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview