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Azerbaijan · Premier League

09 May 2026 13:00 UTC

FK QABALA vs QARABAG FK

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Qarabag FK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kady Malinowski — Qarabag FK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ismahil Akinade — FK Qabala

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 183 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 181 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
51 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
88 predictions
Total 1.5 19% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
100 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
141 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
168 predictions

Match overview