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Azerbaijan · Premier League

03 May 2026 14:30 UTC

ZIRA vs FK QABALA

Final 1:0

Zira won Last goal: Zira

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Martins Junior — Zira

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Zira
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 177 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 175 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
49 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 16% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
162 predictions

Match overview