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Azerbaijan · Premier League

05 May 2026 12:00 UTC

KARVAN FK vs FK NEFTCHI

Final 0:3

FK Neftchi won Last goal: FK Neftchi

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Imad Faraj — FK Neftchi

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Emin Mahmudov — FK Neftchi
  2. ⚽ Freddy Vargas — FK Neftchi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FK Neftchi
90-minute result: FK Neftchi
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 180 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 178 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
127 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
80 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
165 predictions

Match overview