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Ecuador · Serie A

09 May 2026 21:30 UTC

AUCAS vs UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA

Awaits result

Last goal: Aucas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mauricio Alonso — Universidad Catolica
  2. ⚽ Andrés Mena — Aucas

Model prediction

Weak
Underdog
39%
1X2
Universidad Catolica
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 288 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 247 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
169 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
233 predictions

Match preview