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Ecuador · Serie A

10 May 2026 20:30 UTC

EMELEC vs LIBERTAD

Awaits result

Last goal: Libertad

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Steeven Quiñónez — Emelec
  2. ⚽ Gabriel Cortéz — Libertad

Model prediction

Good
Favorite
45%
1X2
Emelec
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
18%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 93 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 290 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
170 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
132 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
175 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
235 predictions

Match preview