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Ecuador · Serie A

09 May 2026 18:30 UTC

TECNICO UNIVERSITARIO vs DELFIN

Final 4:0

Tecnico Universitario won Last goal: Tecnico Universitario

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Wagner Caicedo — Tecnico Universitario
  2. ⚽ Luis Estupiñán — Tecnico Universitario
  3. 🟥 Franco Perinciolo (straight red) — Delfin

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Johan Bocanegra (penalty) — Tecnico Universitario
  2. ⚽ Christopher Arteaga — Tecnico Universitario

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Delfin
90-minute result: Tecnico Universitario
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 288 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 247 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 41% (Weak)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
169 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
73 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
142 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
233 predictions

Match overview