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Ecuador · Serie A

03 May 2026 22:00 UTC

LEONES DEL NORTE vs EMELEC

Awaits result

Model prediction

Strong
51%
1X2
Leones del Norte
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Risky
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
12%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 286 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 245 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
169 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
43 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
231 predictions

Match preview