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Azerbaijan · Premier League

03 May 2026 12:00 UTC

SHAMAKHI FK vs SABAH FK

Final 0:3

Sabah FK won Last goal: Sabah FK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Steve Solvet — Sabah FK

2nd half

  1. Joy-Lance Mickels — Sabah FK
  2. Umarali Rakhmonaliev — Sabah FK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 177 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 175 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
126 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 16% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
162 predictions

Match overview