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Ecuador · Serie A

02 May 2026 19:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO CUENCA vs TECNICO UNIVERSITARIO

Final 2:1

Deportivo Cuenca won Last goal: Deportivo Cuenca

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matías Klimowicz — Deportivo Cuenca
  2. ⚽ Julian Anaya — Tecnico Universitario

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Miguel Perea (straight red) — Tecnico Universitario
  2. ⚽ Jorge Ordóñez (penalty) — Deportivo Cuenca

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Deportivo Cuenca
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 100 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 242 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
74 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
137 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
228 predictions

Match overview