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Ecuador · Serie A

03 May 2026 20:30 UTC

DELFIN vs MUSHUC RUNA

Awaits result

Model prediction

Good
Favorite
45%
1X2
Delfin
Weak
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 93 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 286 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 245 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
169 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
140 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
231 predictions

Match preview