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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

03 May 2026 14:00 UTC

FC CARL ZEISS JENA vs FREIBURG

Final 1:5

Freiburg won Last goal: Freiburg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Svenja Foelmli — Freiburg
  2. ⚽ Lisa Kolb — Freiburg
  3. ⚽ Ingibjoerg Sigurdardottir — Freiburg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sophie Nachtigall (penalty) — Freiburg
  2. ⚽ Isabella Jaron — FC Carl Zeiss Jena
  3. ⚽ Svenja Foelmli — Freiburg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Freiburg
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 13% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 163 completed matches.

1X2 14% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 51% (Average)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 14% (Weak)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
111 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
127 predictions

Match overview