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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

08 May 2026 16:30 UTC

NUERNBERG vs SGS ESSEN

Final 3:0

Nuernberg won Last goal: Nuernberg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fany Proniez — Nuernberg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nastassja Lein — Nuernberg
  2. ⚽ Maëlle Seguin — Nuernberg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Nuernberg
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
33%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 12% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 166 completed matches.

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 13% (Weak)
38 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
148 predictions
Total 2.5 21% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
89 predictions
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
128 predictions

Match overview