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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

02 May 2026 13:00 UTC

VFL WOLFSBURG vs RB LEIPZIG

Final 3:2

VfL Wolfsburg won Last goal: RB Leipzig

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gina-Maria Chmielinski — RB Leipzig

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Janina Minge — VfL Wolfsburg
  2. ⚽ Lena Lattwein — VfL Wolfsburg
  3. ⚽ Lena Lattwein — VfL Wolfsburg
  4. ⚽ Gina-Maria Chmielinski — RB Leipzig

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
RB Leipzig
90-minute result: VfL Wolfsburg
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 159 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 161 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 51% (Average)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
125 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
144 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
110 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
73 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
35 predictions

Match overview