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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

03 May 2026 12:00 UTC

SGS ESSEN vs BAYER LEVERKUSEN

Final 0:4

Bayer Leverkusen won Last goal: Bayer Leverkusen

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Loreen Bender — Bayer Leverkusen
  2. ⚽ Kristin Koegel — Bayer Leverkusen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kristin Koegel — Bayer Leverkusen
  2. ⚽ Cornelia Kramer — Bayer Leverkusen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
SGS Essen
90-minute result: Bayer Leverkusen
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 163 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
126 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
111 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 4.5 28% (Weak)
36 predictions

Match overview