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Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2

03 May 2026 14:15 UTC

SPORTING GIJON vs AD CEUTA FC

Final 1:2

AD Ceuta FC won Last goal: Sporting Gijon

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andres Cuenca (own goal) — AD Ceuta FC
  2. ⚽ Konrad de la Fuente — AD Ceuta FC
  3. ⚽ Gaspar Campos — Sporting Gijon

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Sporting Gijon
90-minute result: AD Ceuta FC
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 418 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 404 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
300 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
176 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
288 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
183 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
369 predictions

Match overview