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Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2

02 May 2026 19:00 UTC

EIBAR vs MALAGA

Final 2:4

Malaga won Last goal: Malaga

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Chupe (penalty) — Malaga
  2. ⚽ Sergio Álvarez — Eibar
  3. ⚽ José Corpas — Eibar

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Adrián Niño — Malaga
  2. ⚽ Darko Brasanac — Malaga
  3. ⚽ Adrián Niño — Malaga

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
40%
1X2
Malaga
90-minute result: Malaga
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
13%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 95 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 416 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 402 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
298 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
175 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
115 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
220 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
312 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
367 predictions

Match overview